Significance of changes in medium-range forecast scores

Forecast and analysis assessment through skill scores

Prediction of kordan river geometric changes in the meandering Range

Predictions of total and even partial changes in rivers patterns are as the most essential issues related to rivers geomorphology. In this regarding, a lot of researches have been done by geomorphologists. This research has explored Kordan River aqueduct morphology changes in bights areas of Afkaneh cone surface. Kordan river is the one which has been affected by various factors and has changed...

Weighted likelihood ratio scores for evaluating forecast densities in tails

We propose and evaluate several new scoring rules based on likelihood ratios, for comparing forecast densities in the context of VaR modelling and expected loss estimation. Our approach is motivated by the observation that existing scoring rules tend to favour fat-tailed models when compared with thin-tailed models. Rather than restricting the weight functions, we impose some restrictions on th...

the significance of conjunction as a cohesive device in teaching writing

the research questions were as follows: 1. is there any relationship between the students concious awareness of the form and implications of the conjuncations and their improvement in using appropriate conjunctions? 2. does students knowledge of the from and the implications of the conjunctions help them to produce more coherent writings. 3. does a comparison between english conjunctions and th...

Application of Combination Forecast Model in the Medium and Long term Power Load Forecast

The gain of SVC depends upon the type of reactive power load for optimum performance. As the load and input wind power conditions are variable, the gain setting of SVC needs to be adjusted or tuned. In this paper, an ANN based approach has been used to tune the gained parameters of the SVC controller over a wide range of load characteristics. The multi-layer feedforward ANN tool with the error ...